Abstract The China Photovoltaic Industry Association held an information conference on January 21. The Photovoltaic Industry Association said that in 2015, China's PV industry continued its warming trend since 2014. Under the vigorous development of the international PV market, especially the strong growth of China's PV market, PV companies...
The China Photovoltaic Industry Association held an information conference on January 21. The Photovoltaic Industry Association said that in 2015, China's PV industry continued its warming trend since 2014. Under the vigorous development of the international PV market, especially the strong growth of China's PV market, the capacity utilization rate of PV enterprises has been effectively improved, and the industrial scale has grown steadily. The profit rate of the company has been improved. Looking forward to 2016, under the guidance of the policy and the market, China's photovoltaic industry is expected to continue to maintain a high-speed growth momentum. Profitability of photovoltaic manufacturing industry increased In 2015, the profitability of China's PV companies improved significantly, and most companies turned losses into profits. Wang Bohua, secretary general of the China Photovoltaic Industry Association, said that the profitability of the photovoltaic manufacturing industry has increased significantly in 2015. The overall operating conditions of 33 regulated companies in 2015 showed an average profit margin of 4.7%, an increase of 30.6% over 2014.
From the perspective of segmentation, the component link performance is significantly better than that of the silicon wafer. The annual output of PV modules exceeds 43GW, of which crystalline silicon cells are still the mainstream, and the average utilization rate of enterprises is 86%, and the differentiation trend is obvious.
In 2015, many PV manufacturing companies are actively implementing the “going out†strategy. According to statistics, the capacity of overseas batteries and modules that have been completed and put into operation in China has reached 3.2GW and 3.78GW respectively, and the capacity under construction and expansion has reached 2.2GW and 1.9GW respectively.
In terms of listed companies, Longji shares signed a project investment contract with the Indian government of Andhra Pradesh to reach a cooperation intention for the company to invest in the construction of 500MW solar cells and modules in Andhra Pradesh; Trina Solar and the Welspun Company of India signed a memorandum of understanding on cooperation. The two companies are planning to build 1GW battery, 1GW component manufacturing base in India and use Tianhe's influence in the photovoltaic industry to attract upstream and downstream enterprises in the industrial chain to form a large-scale photovoltaic industrial park; Jinko Energy's 500MW polycrystalline battery in Penang, Malaysia and The 450MW component plant was successfully put into production.
In 2015, the merger and reorganization of the photovoltaic industry accelerated, and market-oriented resource integration continued to deepen. Shunfeng International acquired polysilicon enterprise Wannian Silicon and US battery component company Suniva to further optimize the industrial chain layout; Tongwei Group invested 850 million Taiwan dollars to invest in Taiwan Jingjing Energy to enhance the economies of scale of the battery; Longji shares, Trina Solar Companies and Yingli cooperate to maximize capacity utilization through entrusted processing.
This year, the global installed capacity of photovoltaics will exceed 58GW.
In 2015, the investment in photovoltaic power plants was so enthusiastic, and the top 20 PV module manufacturers were almost all involved in the downstream power station development business. "This is mainly because in the entire industrial chain, the internal rate of return of the development of photovoltaic power plants can reach 8% to 10%, much higher than the photovoltaic manufacturing sector." Wang Bohua pointed out, "but the fundamental of the photovoltaic industry lies in manufacturing, At present, corporate financing difficulties are a major problem facing the industry. Although everyone is more enthusiastic about investing in photovoltaic power plants, if the manufacturing industry declines, the future development of the photovoltaic industry will have a great impact."
Referring to the future, China Photovoltaic Association expects that the demand for photovoltaics at home and abroad is strong, and the level of intelligentization of photovoltaic manufacturing is expected to gradually increase. In 2016, the global PV market will continue to grow. The development of photovoltaic industry will continue to improve. The installed capacity will reach more than 58GW. Among them, although China's PV market faces problems such as local power cuts, subsidy arrears, and benchmarking of electricity prices, the bottlenecks are solved by means of upgrading renewable energy and optimizing the scale of power station indicators. The continuous decline in product prices will also offset the price of electricity. With the impact of downward adjustment and power cuts, it is expected that China's PV installed market will reach more than 20GW in 2016 due to the “preemption†plan and the price reduction brought by the price cut.
At the same time, with the global production of new polysilicon production, it is estimated that global polysilicon production will reach 360,000 tons. Among them, China's polysilicon production will reach 180,000 tons, product prices are expected to remain at 10 to 110,000 yuan per ton, enterprises will still bear low price pressure. In terms of battery components, with the overall improvement of the photovoltaic industry and the decline in component prices, photovoltaic power generation costs are continually approaching parity. It is expected that global component production will continue to show growth momentum, reaching 65GW for the whole year, and China's PV module production is expected to reach 50GW. There is a further upward trend.
Technological progress will continue to be the development theme of China's photovoltaic industry. It is expected that the conversion efficiency of polycrystalline silicon cells produced in 2016 will exceed 18.5%, monocrystalline silicon cells are expected to reach 20%, and mainstream component products will reach 265W-270W.
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