II. Import and export volume analysis China’s copper products have always been imported-based varieties of non-ferrous metals, among which copper raw materials, refined copper and copper in copper are the major imported products, and exports can form scale. Only copper products.
1. Copper raw materials The release of China's smelting and refining capacity in 2010 increased the demand for copper raw materials in China, but the supply in the international market became more and more tense. Especially in the first half of the year, copper concentrate processing fees were low, and imported copper scrap was low. With the price hanging upside down, the company's import and operating environment is difficult. In the second half of the year, the price of copper continued to rise. At the same time, processing fees for concentrates rebounded. The spread between scrap copper and fine copper expanded, and in the short term the pressure on business operations was eased, which was favorable to the import of copper raw materials.
Copper concentrates Although the supply of copper concentrates continued to be tight in 2010, the difficulty of import in the first half of the year increased, but China’s hard demand still maintained the growth of copper concentrate imports. In the second half of the year, the unexpected events of Indian smelters caused a significant increase in processing fees for copper concentrates, which will promote the active import of copper concentrates in China. It is expected that the import volume of copper concentrates in 2011 will continue to show slight growth, and the import volume will increase. It will reach 6.8 million to 7 million tons.
From the trade mode of copper concentrate import in 2010, the general trade import reached 6.15250 million tons, which is a year-on-year increase of 3.22%, accounting for 95.12% of the total import volume. The provinces with the largest imported copper concentrates were Anhui (the annual import volume reached 1.462 million tons, an increase of 14.35% over the previous year), Shandong (1.1596 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.48%), Gansu (1.1335 million tons, an increase of 3.58%), Jiangxi (102.21 million tons, an increase of 18.31%).
The main source of copper concentrate imports in 2010 is still Chile, followed by Peru, Australia and Mongolia.
Crude Copper In 2010, the import of crude copper (including anode copper) in China continued to grow under the support of the State's foreign trade policy (exemption from VAT with imported gold). From the trade perspective, general trade imports accounted for 89.43% of the total import volume, a substantial increase of 68.58% year-on-year to 356,900 tons.
Among the top countries where blister copper was imported, imports from Zambia ranked first, reaching 174,300 tons, an increase of 106.97% on the basis of a three-fold increase over the previous year; followed by Chile, it was 98,600 tons; 32.51%; once again ** Congo 62,400 tons, an increase of 64.03%; Pakistan, 11,000 tons, an increase of 169.88%. Among them, Zambia, Congo, and Pakistan all use Chinese companies to participate in the development of copper resources.
It is expected that with the gradual development of overseas resource development in China in recent years, copper imports will continue to show a trend of growth due to copper export policies and freight considerations. It is expected that crude copper will be available in 2011. Imports will reach more than 500,000 tons.
Waste miscellaneous copper In 2010, China's miscellaneous copper imports continued its rebound in the second half of 2009, and imports continued to increase. Despite the accelerated growth of imports in the second half of the year, there is still a big gap from the level in 2008.
The imports of scrap copper in 2010 came from 119 countries and regions in the world. Among them, the miscellaneous copper imported from Japan, the most important source of imports from a few years ago, continued to decline. The annual imports were only 255,500 tons, which was lower than the previous year. 63.16%, which has fallen to the seventh place in terms of import volume, has become the most important factor that drags down China's miscellaneous copper imports. In 2007-2008, imports were all over 2 million tons. In 2010, waste miscellaneous copper imported from the United States topped the list, reaching 789,200 tons in the year, an increase of 51.06 percent year-on-year; imported 599,400 tons from Spain, an increase of 34.27%; and imported 551,100 tons from Australia, an increase of 19.28%.
The import trade mode of waste miscellaneous copper is still dominated by general trade imports. In 2010, it reached 4.3363 million tons, an increase of 8.83% year-on-year, accounting for 99.36% of the total import volume. The main areas of imported scrap copper in China were concentrated in Guangdong (1,872,200 tons, an increase of 4.79% compared with the same period of last year) and Zhejiang (149,510,000 tons, an increase of 11.50%).
In 2011, with the high price of copper, refiners’ profit margins will increase, which will promote the enthusiasm of Chinese companies for importing scrap copper. Combined with the increase in demand, it is expected that the import of scrap copper will continue to pick up, but will be affected by renewable resources (waste The VAT refund policy for copper and other waste materials expired on December 31, 2010 and will not be resumed in 2011. The import growth of scrap copper will be subject to certain restrictions. It is expected that the annual import volume will reach 480-500. Ten thousand tons, and the level of imports of nearly 5.6 million tons in 2008 is still a certain gap.
2. The import volume of copper metal in 2010 was lower than that in the first half of the year. Among them, the import volume of refined copper has doubled after the previous year, and there has been a downward trend in adjustment volatility. The export of fine copper still has a big gap from the previous year.
In 2010, China’s imports of refined copper accounted for the largest volume of imports, which reached 1.46230 million tons, a decrease of 19.34% year-on-year; followed by imports of 750,900 tons of storage in the bonded area, an increase of 63.36%; imports of 469,500 tons of processing imports, A slight drop of 0.72%.
China’s major importer of refined copper is still Chile. The annual import volume reached 1,348,600 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 7.04%, accounting for 45.15% of the total import volume; followed by Japan (253,200 tons, a decrease of 30.45%) and Kazakhstan (18.80). Ten thousand tons, an increase of 15.68%) and so on.
The regions with the most imports of fine copper in China were Shanghai (1.1413 million tons, down 10.35% year-on-year), Guangdong (50.56 million tons, up 7.37%), Zhejiang (42.50 million tons, down 10.58%), and Shandong (23.99 million tons). Growth of 44.26%) and Jiangsu (19.63 million tons, down 5.40%).
In 2010, the foreign trade policy for refined copper exports remained unchanged, and exports continued to decrease substantially. It is expected that in the absence of cross-market arbitrage opportunities in 2011, refined copper exports will be even more reduced; the continuous increase in China's refined copper production and the reduction in exports will inhibit the sharp increase in refined copper imports. Imports will not exceed 2010 levels.
3. Copper materials With the slow recovery of the economies of the world's major economies, the demand for copper materials in the international market has gradually come out of the trough. In 2010, foreign trade in copper products was even more active. Imports and exports both showed a growth trend and the fluctuations were similar. However, there is still a small gap compared with the level of foreign trade in 2008.
In the first half of 2010, the import of copper materials was better than that of the second half of the year; the increase in exports of most products was significantly higher than that of imports. It is expected that the global economy will continue to recover in 2011. Although this recovery will not be successful and trade protectionism may continue to emerge, the competitiveness of copper processing products in China (including local companies and foreign-funded enterprises) is gradually increasing. Exports of copper products will continue to show continued growth; import volume will continue to grow at a smaller rate than exports, and may even decline steadily.
In the copper foreign trade, refined copper processing materials imported 461,200 tons, an increase of 3.71%, accounting for 50.65% of total imports; exports of 190,400 tons, an increase of 5.41%, accounting for 37.44% of total exports. The proportion of total copper imports and exports decreased slightly.
As a whole, the foreign trade situation of copper materials in 2010 is similar to that of previous years. Imports and exports are dominated by processing trade (feeding and processing of imported materials), of which, processing trade imports account for 74.71% of total imports, a year-on-year increase. It has increased by nearly 18.7%, and the export volume of processing trade accounted for 74.53% of the total export volume, an increase of 4.4 percentage points.
1. Copper raw materials The release of China's smelting and refining capacity in 2010 increased the demand for copper raw materials in China, but the supply in the international market became more and more tense. Especially in the first half of the year, copper concentrate processing fees were low, and imported copper scrap was low. With the price hanging upside down, the company's import and operating environment is difficult. In the second half of the year, the price of copper continued to rise. At the same time, processing fees for concentrates rebounded. The spread between scrap copper and fine copper expanded, and in the short term the pressure on business operations was eased, which was favorable to the import of copper raw materials.
Copper concentrates Although the supply of copper concentrates continued to be tight in 2010, the difficulty of import in the first half of the year increased, but China’s hard demand still maintained the growth of copper concentrate imports. In the second half of the year, the unexpected events of Indian smelters caused a significant increase in processing fees for copper concentrates, which will promote the active import of copper concentrates in China. It is expected that the import volume of copper concentrates in 2011 will continue to show slight growth, and the import volume will increase. It will reach 6.8 million to 7 million tons.
From the trade mode of copper concentrate import in 2010, the general trade import reached 6.15250 million tons, which is a year-on-year increase of 3.22%, accounting for 95.12% of the total import volume. The provinces with the largest imported copper concentrates were Anhui (the annual import volume reached 1.462 million tons, an increase of 14.35% over the previous year), Shandong (1.1596 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.48%), Gansu (1.1335 million tons, an increase of 3.58%), Jiangxi (102.21 million tons, an increase of 18.31%).
The main source of copper concentrate imports in 2010 is still Chile, followed by Peru, Australia and Mongolia.
Crude Copper In 2010, the import of crude copper (including anode copper) in China continued to grow under the support of the State's foreign trade policy (exemption from VAT with imported gold). From the trade perspective, general trade imports accounted for 89.43% of the total import volume, a substantial increase of 68.58% year-on-year to 356,900 tons.
Among the top countries where blister copper was imported, imports from Zambia ranked first, reaching 174,300 tons, an increase of 106.97% on the basis of a three-fold increase over the previous year; followed by Chile, it was 98,600 tons; 32.51%; once again ** Congo 62,400 tons, an increase of 64.03%; Pakistan, 11,000 tons, an increase of 169.88%. Among them, Zambia, Congo, and Pakistan all use Chinese companies to participate in the development of copper resources.
It is expected that with the gradual development of overseas resource development in China in recent years, copper imports will continue to show a trend of growth due to copper export policies and freight considerations. It is expected that crude copper will be available in 2011. Imports will reach more than 500,000 tons.
Waste miscellaneous copper In 2010, China's miscellaneous copper imports continued its rebound in the second half of 2009, and imports continued to increase. Despite the accelerated growth of imports in the second half of the year, there is still a big gap from the level in 2008.
The imports of scrap copper in 2010 came from 119 countries and regions in the world. Among them, the miscellaneous copper imported from Japan, the most important source of imports from a few years ago, continued to decline. The annual imports were only 255,500 tons, which was lower than the previous year. 63.16%, which has fallen to the seventh place in terms of import volume, has become the most important factor that drags down China's miscellaneous copper imports. In 2007-2008, imports were all over 2 million tons. In 2010, waste miscellaneous copper imported from the United States topped the list, reaching 789,200 tons in the year, an increase of 51.06 percent year-on-year; imported 599,400 tons from Spain, an increase of 34.27%; and imported 551,100 tons from Australia, an increase of 19.28%.
The import trade mode of waste miscellaneous copper is still dominated by general trade imports. In 2010, it reached 4.3363 million tons, an increase of 8.83% year-on-year, accounting for 99.36% of the total import volume. The main areas of imported scrap copper in China were concentrated in Guangdong (1,872,200 tons, an increase of 4.79% compared with the same period of last year) and Zhejiang (149,510,000 tons, an increase of 11.50%).
In 2011, with the high price of copper, refiners’ profit margins will increase, which will promote the enthusiasm of Chinese companies for importing scrap copper. Combined with the increase in demand, it is expected that the import of scrap copper will continue to pick up, but will be affected by renewable resources (waste The VAT refund policy for copper and other waste materials expired on December 31, 2010 and will not be resumed in 2011. The import growth of scrap copper will be subject to certain restrictions. It is expected that the annual import volume will reach 480-500. Ten thousand tons, and the level of imports of nearly 5.6 million tons in 2008 is still a certain gap.
2. The import volume of copper metal in 2010 was lower than that in the first half of the year. Among them, the import volume of refined copper has doubled after the previous year, and there has been a downward trend in adjustment volatility. The export of fine copper still has a big gap from the previous year.
In 2010, China’s imports of refined copper accounted for the largest volume of imports, which reached 1.46230 million tons, a decrease of 19.34% year-on-year; followed by imports of 750,900 tons of storage in the bonded area, an increase of 63.36%; imports of 469,500 tons of processing imports, A slight drop of 0.72%.
China’s major importer of refined copper is still Chile. The annual import volume reached 1,348,600 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 7.04%, accounting for 45.15% of the total import volume; followed by Japan (253,200 tons, a decrease of 30.45%) and Kazakhstan (18.80). Ten thousand tons, an increase of 15.68%) and so on.
The regions with the most imports of fine copper in China were Shanghai (1.1413 million tons, down 10.35% year-on-year), Guangdong (50.56 million tons, up 7.37%), Zhejiang (42.50 million tons, down 10.58%), and Shandong (23.99 million tons). Growth of 44.26%) and Jiangsu (19.63 million tons, down 5.40%).
In 2010, the foreign trade policy for refined copper exports remained unchanged, and exports continued to decrease substantially. It is expected that in the absence of cross-market arbitrage opportunities in 2011, refined copper exports will be even more reduced; the continuous increase in China's refined copper production and the reduction in exports will inhibit the sharp increase in refined copper imports. Imports will not exceed 2010 levels.
3. Copper materials With the slow recovery of the economies of the world's major economies, the demand for copper materials in the international market has gradually come out of the trough. In 2010, foreign trade in copper products was even more active. Imports and exports both showed a growth trend and the fluctuations were similar. However, there is still a small gap compared with the level of foreign trade in 2008.
In the first half of 2010, the import of copper materials was better than that of the second half of the year; the increase in exports of most products was significantly higher than that of imports. It is expected that the global economy will continue to recover in 2011. Although this recovery will not be successful and trade protectionism may continue to emerge, the competitiveness of copper processing products in China (including local companies and foreign-funded enterprises) is gradually increasing. Exports of copper products will continue to show continued growth; import volume will continue to grow at a smaller rate than exports, and may even decline steadily.
In the copper foreign trade, refined copper processing materials imported 461,200 tons, an increase of 3.71%, accounting for 50.65% of total imports; exports of 190,400 tons, an increase of 5.41%, accounting for 37.44% of total exports. The proportion of total copper imports and exports decreased slightly.
As a whole, the foreign trade situation of copper materials in 2010 is similar to that of previous years. Imports and exports are dominated by processing trade (feeding and processing of imported materials), of which, processing trade imports account for 74.71% of total imports, a year-on-year increase. It has increased by nearly 18.7%, and the export volume of processing trade accounted for 74.53% of the total export volume, an increase of 4.4 percentage points.
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