How is the fire "grey rhino"?

November 2017 No. 18, Tai Hing fire dead 19 people and injuring eight people, dead children 8.

The municipal party committee secretary and the mayor then went to direct fire fighting and rescue. On the second day, a meeting was opened at the scene. Then, an emergency meeting for safe production in the city was opened.

According to official news, a series of actions after the fire released three new signals.

First, the fire is safe production of gray rhinoceros!

This sentence is the party secretary Cai Qi personally said. The press release is written like this:

Cai Qi pointed out that the “ 11 · 18 ′′ fire accident lesson has been extremely profound. The fire is the "grey rhinoceros" for safe production. The whole city must wake up, make up their minds, take decisive measures, earnestly safeguard the people's life and property safety, and earnestly safeguard the security and stability of the capital. It is necessary to firmly establish the concept of safe development, and to regard "human life as a matter of course, development must not be at the expense of human life" as an insurmountable red line. It is necessary to carry forward the idea of ​​life first and safety first, persist in problem orientation, identify ideological blind spots, and manage blind spots, and make up their minds to increase the "three in one" and "all in one" sites, industrial complexes, scattered enterprises, and illegal construction. Such efforts to clean up completely eliminate security risks.

Many people may not understand what a gray rhino is. It does not matter, I know Baidu too.

Du Niang’s encyclopedic records:

July 17, 2017, after the financial work conference held the first working day, the front page of People's Daily published a commentator's article "effectively guard against financial risks," mentioned in the text: preventing and defusing financial risks, enhance the sense of need. ... Both against "black swan" and against "gray rhinoceros", they can neither be taken lightly nor turned a deaf ear to the signs of various risks. This is the first mention of the "gray rhinoceros" concept in the People's Daily.

Du Niang explained:

"Grey Rhinoceros" is a complementary concept to the "Black Swan". The "Grey Rhinoceros Incident" is too common to be taken for granted. The "Black Swan Event" is an extremely rare and unexpected risk.

Du Yun Niang's extension information:

The book "Grey Rhinoceros : How to Cope with a Probability Crisis," written by Michel Gucker, a Guggenheim Scholar award winner, has made the "grey rhinoceros" known to the world. Similar to the "black swan" metaphor of a small probability and a huge impact on the event , "gray rhinoceros" is a metaphor for a large probability and a huge potential crisis.

The gray rhinoceros is heavy and slow to react. You can see it in the distance, but you don't care. Once it comes to you, it will make you feel caught off guard and be thrown to the ground. It is not mysterious but more dangerous. It can be said that "gray rhinoceros" is a crisis with a high probability, and signs have appeared before the outbreak, but it has been ignored.

Well, we generally understand the meaning of Secretary Cai. In safety production, there is a high probability of fire, just like gray rhinoceros. Our government and many departments saw it, but did not care, ignored it, did not take effective countermeasures, and now it rushed over and made a major event.

Gray rhinoceros is extremely dangerous and has a high probability and has not attracted enough attention. The position of Cai Shuji needs the reflection and attention of governments, departments, and units at all levels.

Second, fire prevention is not a matter for the fire department!

The secretary and the mayor personally went to the scene to direct and open the on-site meeting to open an emergency meeting in the city.

According to the secretary and the mayor, it is the government leaders, department leaders, and state-owned enterprises of all districts and counties.

Really, the five or six people in the fire department, seventy-eight guns, and all of them are not likely to be inspected by villages and households. November 9 this year, SCS's "fire safety responsibility system approach" has made a more clearly defined, fire safety is the party committee and government to do, is all sectors of things, the principle is the same party and government responsibility, a Two-pronged duties, dereliction of duty, and joint management. Firefighting requires more ideas and more suggestions in order to return to normal orbit.

Special governance is a real struggle and can be managed for a while. In the long run, more measures will surely be introduced, such as more in-depth implementation of the accountability mechanism in the country to strengthen accountability, more introduction of social firefighting training to enhance the quality of personnel, and more to guide and standardize the support of services to improve the unit management level. protracted war.

Third, to focus on, fire management into the entire period, the entire field!

Beijing’s special governance is comprehensive and extremely strict.

The notification of governance can refer to this link, Beijing 40- day special governance notice.

The key words are as follows:

All regions, departments, and units must carry out large-scale investigations, large-scale clean-ups, and major renovations of all-region, all-weather, and all-factory safety hazards.

Efforts will be made to rectify the safety hazards arising from the construction of illegal and illegal constructions, illegal production operations, and unlawful group rents.

We will focus on rectifying a number of outstanding problems, banned a batch of illegal sites, demolished a batch of illegal buildings, and closed down a batch of companies that violated laws and regulations and did not meet security conditions.

The fire in key fire units is of course a major event. However, it is not uncommon for a small fire to take place in a small place. For example, a few years ago, Jilin Misao Town had 121 people dead .

If we only focus on monitoring a few key units, how can small villages and towns and towns enterprises lack supervision and regulate their management?

There was a saying that called sesame seeds and lost watermelon.

However, watermelons are everywhere now. What should I do? Focusing on key points is no longer the best solution. Only fully blossoming must be fully managed.

About fire self-help, not an off-topic statement

The fire can be determined from the news published by the media:

The fire ignited from the basement. The basement was more than 5,000 square meters and there were 6 cold storages. The material that burned was very easy to generate smoke. The firefighting forces organized 3 attack teams, set up 4 water gun positions, and continued to attack in 2 smoke exhaust positions. The fire did not spread to the upper two floors, but the smoke rushed into the apartment through stairs and other channels.

Many media sent journalists to conduct on-site interviews, and some involved the evacuees. People are helpless and nervous at those times when the smoke is full.

Because of the smoke, people are killed and injured during the escape. How to choose the escape time in the fire, how to avoid the harm of smoke, run or not run, where to run?

These most basic fire response knowledge must attract more attention and broader concerns. We must use a scientific perspective to analyze, study, educate, and train. We must not be stereotyped, can not obey stereotypes, and must not shout slogans.

Fire-fighting training is a long-term and significant task.