The Ministry of Commerce website on the 28th, recently, the Indian Anti-Dumping Authority announced that it has applied for anti-dumping investigations on solar cells from mainland China, Chinese Taipei, Malaysia and the United States according to the application of the Indian Solar Manufacturers Association. According to the reporter's understanding, the trade volume of China's exports of photovoltaic modules to India in 2011 was about 1.6 billion yuan, which is quite different from the export volume of more than 20 billion US dollars (about 130 billion yuan) to Europe. This may mean that even if the Indian government introduces anti-dumping measures against Chinese PV companies, the negative impact on the domestic PV product export situation is far less than that in Europe. However, some industry analysts said that in the context of the global PV industry is in a difficult situation, the anti-dumping "Domino" effect will be transmitted to emerging markets in Asia, and its far-reaching impact may be the result of Chinese companies' efforts to open up overseas emerging markets in recent years. Chinese companies The space in the global PV market will continue to be squeezed. The direct impact cannot be underestimated. The Indian Anti-Dumping Authority received an application from the Indian industry on September 12 to conduct anti-dumping investigations on solar modules or parts exported from or to Malaysia, China, Chinese Taipei and the United States. After three months, the application was officially accepted by the Indian government. According to a market analysis report, the amount of PV modules exported to India in 2011 was 346 MW. If the market average of the latest 4.6 yuan/W international polysilicon battery is roughly calculated, last year China's PV modules were for India. The export value is about 1.6 billion yuan. This figure is much smaller than the amount exported to Europe. In addition, the installed capacity of PV modules in India for the whole year of 2011 was 480 MW, accounting for only 2% of the global installation. Despite the small size, by comparing the above figures, it can be seen that 62% (346 MW) of India's 480 MW PV modules installed last year were imported from China. According to the China Securities Journal reporter, among the Chinese companies that export to India, the top three Suntech Power, Artes and Zhongdian PV account for more than one-third of the total. A brokerage analyst said that this means that China's leading companies have already played a pivotal role in the Indian market. Once India has also swayed anti-dumping sticks, these companies have finally established a dominant position in the Indian market in recent years. It will be lost quickly. From this perspective, the negative impact of India’s anti-dumping should not be underestimated. Emerging markets open up or encounter resistance The above brokerage analysts believe that due to the uncertainties in the European and American markets in recent years, many domestic PV companies have begun to shift their sights to emerging markets such as Asia and South America to find new export alternatives. “Once India’s anti-dumping against China becomes a reality, this 'Domino' effect may be fermented in emerging market countries. This will make Chinese PV companies’ efforts in recent years to bear the blow,†he said. Since last year, the potential of emerging markets in Asia and South America has been reduced to the momentum of national policies. According to the above market analysis report, in 2011, the total installed capacity of photovoltaics in emerging markets in Asia, represented by Japan, India and Australia, exceeded 2,000 megawatts, accounting for nearly 10% of the global market, showing a rapid increase. In the fourth quarter of last year, India's PV installed capacity increased by 125% year-on-year, exceeding the growth rate of Germany and Italy. With a series of policy support from the Indian government, India's PV installations are expected to reach 1,000 megawatts in 2012, a 108.33% increase from 2011. Japan's PV installed capacity in 2012 is expected to exceed 2,000 megawatts, an increase of 66.67% compared to 2011. Behind the surge in installed capacity, it is the continued “force†of photovoltaic subsidies in emerging market countries. Taking Japan as an example, its recent policy is that its domestic non-resident PV power plant project will enjoy a photovoltaic price of 40 yen / kWh (about 0.38 euros) for a period of 20 years, which is much higher than the current European 0.2 euro / A subsidy of around degrees. Under this subsidy, the rate of return on investment in the development of photovoltaic power plant projects in Japan will be as high as 20%.
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