January 2015 Domestic Market Forecast

In December, the domestic market continued to climb, and the average domestic particle price of domestic enterprises at the beginning of the month was around RMB 1,184/ton, and by the end of the month, the average price of domestic companies’ quotations had risen to RMB 1,241/ton, with an overall increase of 4.78%. The current price has increased by 21.41% year-on-year last year.

Market analysis

Products: Domestic ** market is still climbing this month, domestic refinery stocks remain at low levels, and factory prices are continuously raised this month, companies are shipping smoothly; port market conditions are stable this month, and Qingdao port is filled at the end of the month due to downstream Inventories, inventory shortages, grain ** low monthly quoted at 1350 yuan / ton, Fangchenggang strong market, port inventory is relatively stable, subject to domestic refineries to increase price support, line intelligence firm in the 1380-1390 yuan / ton range, low price With little intention of taking the goods, the market of Changjiang Port has continued to strengthen, and the market has followed up with the outer market. The prices of the market are not much, and the stock market before the New Year's Day in the downstream market is good for the support of the Yangtze River Port;

Industry chain: **The downstream market is well supported, and the acid market is stable this month. Especially near the end of the month, the freight transportation slows down and supports **the market is up, and it has a positive effect on **. The overall market of the ammonium phosphate market Stabilization, a stable ammonium market consolidation, the company distribution of goods, after the introduction of export tariff policy, the port inquiry atmosphere is good, diammonium market shipments stable, winter storage promoted smoothly, the company's early orders are good, the downstream fertilizer market stability , The factory purchases are cautious and the overall support for ** is good;

Industry: ** External disk market continues to climb, and the external quotation at the end of the month has reached the FOB160 high US dollar/ton. Although the ocean freight declined slightly, it is equivalent to China's CIF price of CFR186-190/ton, and some traders are bullish to CFR200. / Ton, the current demand for external equipment in domestic factories is strong, and the high level of external disk is obviously favorable for supporting domestic market prices.

Market Forecast

After New Year's Day, the demand in the downstream market still performed well. Zhou Yan, an analyst at the branch of the chemical branch of the Business Society, believes that there will be slight upside in the late period of the market.